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pollution
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According to two recent polls, most Australians favour an emissions trading scheme, but at the same time most don't know what it means.


So let's first look at what it is. Emissions trading is a tool in the fight against pollution. It aims to encourage the reduction of emissions by offering incentives to do so. Different emissions trading schemes can be set up for different pollutants: greenhouse gases, carbon etc.

In practice, a government or regulatory authority sets a cap on the total carbon, say, that can be emitted in an area such as a state or a country in one year. Based on that total, companies and other producers of pollution are allocated individual annual allowances. Any company which plans to produce less emissions than its allocation can sell the excess. Any company which needs to produce more emissions than its allocation needs to buy more allocations.

The buying and selling is done on an exchange, like the stockmarket.

Such a scheme is thought to have advantages over alternative methods of controlling emissions, such as a direct tax, because, in theory, those that can easily reduce emissions most cheaply will do so, achieving the pollution reduction at the lowest possible cost to society.

So what is to stop Australia pushing ahead with these positive plans?


Firstly, emissions trading has its detractors, with arguments especially about complexity of such schemes and about goals and caps. Secondly, the issue is politically sensitive, with the government wary of a backlash from some voters who are happy to support a good cause until it starts to hit them in the wallet, and from other voters who know nothing about it at all.

That mix can be seen in two Australian polls conducted in July. When asked in general if they supported an emission trading scheme to fight global warming, respondents to a Newspoll replied 61 per cent in favour; when asked if they’d pay to support it, approval dropped to 56 per cent; and when asked if petrol should be exempt, even if it pushed up other prices, opinion was almost evenly divided. Meanwhile, a poll in Melbourne's The Age suggested half the Australian population had either never heard of emissions trading or did not know what it was; and just 7% claimed to know a lot about it.

While action is desperately needed, and while the Australian government has committed to action within two years, this confusion and lack of understanding will make the politicians wary and may compromise the government's stated commitment. One has only to look back to the recent outcry when petrol prices surged. Our elected decision makers, so sensitive to polls of a different kind, will be moving warily.

Which is fair enough, so long as they have the courage to keep moving forward.
Research sources: news.com.au, wikipedia, The Age

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Changing Fortune 500

July 12th 2008 10:21
Goodbye Nike, hello China

Hello China indeed. Our heading summarises the 2008 Fortune 500 list, released last Thursday. The iconic sports shoe maker and eight other American companies fell off the list of the world's top 500 companies measured by revenue, cutting the American presence from 162 in 2007 to 153.

Japan provided 64 companies, France 39, Germany 37 and Britain 34.

Splitting the last two, with 35 companies, was greater China. With 26 mainland firms, six from Taiwan and three from Hong Kong, the Chinese presence was the biggest ever, and who can doubt that there is plenty more to come?

Before polishing off the crystal ball and having a peep at the future, it is interesting to have a look at the road, at times rocky and even harsh, which has led to a present where tens if not hundreds of millions of Chinese are wearing expensive western clothes and carrying expensive mobile phones in their designer pockets, and a future where it seems a question of when, not whether, China will take over as the world's economic super power.

Some people argue that China became the world's biggest economy years ago. This is because statistics, as we all know, can tell the same story in different ways. In simple terms, it can be misleading to say the average American earns, say, 10 times as much as the average Chinese, because that average Chinese wage has, in China, a much higher value than one-tenth the American wage. If we adjust the average wage figures to reflect local purchasing power, and if we then multiply our new average wage figures by the respective population of the two countries, it is easy to see how China can be said to be the world's biggest economy.

While it still has a little way to go in real terms, as the economists say, it interesting to consider that China has been the fastest-growing economy in the world for the past 25 years. Average gross domestic product growth in that time has been an astounding 10 per cent. Income levels have grown at 8 per cent per year for the past 30 years, and a 2005 United Nations report said China had lifted 250 million people out of poverty since 1980. Today, new millionaires in US$ terms are popping up all over the place.

It is not all good news, of course. Income disparity - the gap between the rich and the poor - is growing quickly and has been recognised by authoritative voices both inside and outside the country as a major problem. Some predict consequent social unrest unless the Chinese authorities find a way of reversing the trend.

The sheer scope of the Chinese economic revolution could have global consequences. In 2006, renowned American environmentalist Dr Lester Brown warned that China's growing prosperity in China threatened to place "intolerable" burdens on the world's natural resources.

Dr Brown bluntly claimed that, unless the world economy was fundamentally restructured, it would be unable to produce enough energy, food and other resources to meet Chinese demand.

Is this the future? Dr Brown said that, if it continued to grow at its current pace, China would by 2031 have a population of 1.4 billion, would burn 99 million barrels of oil a day (18 per cent more than is now produced globally), consume two-thirds of the world's current grain harvest, use twice as much paper as the world currently produces, and drive 1.1 billion cars, more than the world's 2005 fleet of 800 million, forcing it to pave roads and car parks equal to the area it now plants in rice.

"There go the world's forests," said Dr Brown

Is that the future? Our crystal ball has thrown hands over eyes and hidden itself under the pillow.

Footnote: For a full list of the 2008 Fortune 500, go to this link.

Sources: China Daily, cnn.com, wikipedia.com


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Panda tale of survival

July 7th 2008 03:03
panda birth china
Proud mother: Chinese earthquake survivor Guo Guo carries in her mouth one of two giant panda cubs born on July 6
Picture: Xinhua

The first giant panda cubs to be born in captivity in the world so far this year were delivered safely yesterday (Sunday, July 6) in Ya'an City, Sichuan Province, China. The birth of the twins, a happy enough event in its own right, is in fact the end of a dramatic story which could have been tragic.

The mother of the two cubs, Guo Guo, was evacuated from the earthquake-hit China Giant Panda Research Center's Hetaoping Base in the Wolong Nature Reserve in Sichuan. Before the earthquake, Hetaoping Base was home to 63 pandas. One was killed and another is still missing after the May 12 quake, the strongest and deadliest to hit China since 1976. The surviving pandas were moved to panda breeding bases in Fujian, Yunnan and Guangdong provinces.

Guo Guo, who is 12 years old, is pictured above carrying the older of her two cubs. It weighed 170 grams at birth.

Footnote: China has 239 giant pandas in captivity, and another 27 live outside the country. It is estimated that about 1,590 pandas are currently living in the wild, although a 2006 study using DNA analysis estimated 2,000 to 3,000 in the wild. Although there is evidence that the number of wild pandas is on the rise, conservationists say they can not yet be removed from the endangered animal list. (Source: Wikipedia)

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G8 chatfest under way

July 7th 2008 00:38
G8 protest march Japan
Protestors welcome the G8 leaders to this year's meeting
Picture: Reuters

And here is the main news item being reported around the world three days from now: G8 leaders have just concluded a landmark meeting in Japan by signing a series of initiatives which are being hailed as a breakthrough in international willingness to confront climate change.

[ Click here to read more ]
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